Following the financial crisis I was very vocal that lower interest rates and QE would not cause high inflation. This went against the prevailing theory that lower interest rates and more reserves in the banking [...]
Here are some things I think I am thinking about this weekend: 1) The Passive Decisions of Active Index Funds. Super Micro Computer is being added to the S&P 500. This probably won’t impact the [...]
Don't worry. This isn't a post about how the 60/40 portfolio is "dead". We talked about how that was nonsense last year and a 60/40 portfolio was up 20% last year right when everyone was [...]
When people think of macro investing they tend to think of Paul Tudor Jones, George Soros or Ray Dalio. These investors are using big macro trends to actively trade the markets. And while these strategies [...]
I have some exciting news to announce. I will be publishing a new book later this year that was titled "The Holy Grail of Investing". I say “was" because some guy named Tony Robbins just [...]
The January CPI came in much hotter than expected. Does this mean the 2024 rate cuts are off the table? Does it mean inflation is about to flare up again? Let's take a closer look [...]
Here are some things I think I am thinking about this weekend. 1) Portfolio Insurance. I did a segment on Fox Business with Charles Payne this week in which we discussed a tweet of mine [...]
Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) The Future is amazing (and lonely). The Apple Vision Pro is officially out. This is the first VR headset that appears viable. Early reviews [...]
Here's my full interview from Wednesday following the big Fed decision on interest rates. The summary: The market seemed surprised by the Fed decision and especially the commentary that the Fed would not be cutting [...]
One of the main drivers in the falling rate of inflation has been the consistently softening labor market. The Covid stimulus and recovery resulted in a huge employment surge. The unique nature of the boom [...]